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Dazaifu Tenmangu crowd forecast

太宰府天満宮 · Dazaifu · shrine

Today at Dazaifu Tenmangu: Busy (40/100). The quietest day in the next six months looks like Mon 15 Feb 2027.

Quietest days ahead

  • Mon 15 Feb 2027Moderate
  • Mon 8 Feb 2027Moderate
  • Tue 9 Feb 2027Moderate
  • Wed 10 Feb 2027Moderate
  • Fri 12 Feb 2027Moderate

Busiest days ahead

  • Fri 1 Jan 2027Very BusyNew Year first shrine visit (hatsumode)
  • Sat 2 Jan 2027Very BusyNew Year first shrine visit (hatsumode)
  • Sun 3 Jan 2027Very BusyNew Year first shrine visit (hatsumode)
  • Tue 3 Nov 2026Busy
  • Sat 7 Nov 2026Busy

Month by month

MonthTypical crowdVerdict
October 2026 44/100 About average
November 2026 48/100 Busier than average
December 2026 42/100 About average
January 2027 34/100 Slightly quieter than average
February 2027 31/100 A good month to visit

Every month at Dazaifu Tenmangu: January · February · March · April · May · June · July · August · September · October · November · December

Common questions

When is the least crowded time to visit Dazaifu Tenmangu?
Over the next six months the quietest forecast day is Mon 15 Feb 2027, at 25/100 on the crowd index against a 40/100 average for this landmark. Weekdays average 38/100 versus 43/100 on weekends and public holidays, so a mid-week visit is reliably calmer.
How crowded is Dazaifu Tenmangu today?
Today's forecast is "Busy" — 40 out of 100 on the crowd index. That is about typical for this location.
Which days should I avoid at Dazaifu Tenmangu?
The busiest forecast days in the window are Fri 1 Jan 2027, Sat 2 Jan 2027, Sun 3 Jan 2027. Watch for New Year first shrine visit (hatsumode), Plum blossom (ume) season, which reliably draw crowds.
Does rain make Dazaifu Tenmangu less crowded?
Yes, noticeably. Dazaifu Tenmangu is largely open-air, and the forecast drops its crowd score by up to 35% on a high-rain day — one of the more reliable ways to get a quiet visit.

Crowd alerts

One email a month: which dates are filling up, which are still quiet, and what's changed. No spam, unsubscribe in one click.

How this forecast is built

Each day's crowd level combines the landmark's baseline popularity, Japanese national holidays (computed from the official rules, including substitute holidays), curated local festival and season windows, a national tourism seasonality curve derived from published visitor-arrival patterns, and live rain probability from the Japan Meteorological Agency — weighted by how much that specific place actually empties out in the rain.

It's a model, not a measurement. It's good at "this weekend will be much worse than the following Tuesday" and it is not a headcount. Days beyond the JMA's ~7-day window use seasonal rain climatology.