Tokyo crowd forecast
15 landmarks · six-month outlook
Across its main sights, Tokyo is Moderate today (35/100). The quietest day in the next six months looks like Fri 12 Feb 2027.
Today, landmark by landmark
| Landmark | Crowd index | Level |
|---|---|---|
| Shibuya Scramble Crossing | 46/100 | Busy |
| teamLab Planets | 45/100 | Busy |
| Senso-ji Temple | 40/100 | Busy |
| Tokyo Skytree | 38/100 | Moderate |
| Tokyo Tower | 38/100 | Moderate |
| Roppongi Hills | 38/100 | Moderate |
| Tsukiji Outer Market | 36/100 | Moderate |
| Akihabara | 36/100 | Moderate |
| Ginza | 36/100 | Moderate |
| Takeshita Street, Harajuku | 35/100 | Moderate |
| Meiji Shrine | 33/100 | Moderate |
| Odaiba | 31/100 | Moderate |
| Ueno Park | 30/100 | Moderate |
| Yanaka Ginza | 24/100 | Moderate |
| Shinjuku Gyoen | 21/100 | Uncrowded |
Quietest days in Tokyo
- Fri 12 Feb 2027ModerateWinter illumination season
- Mon 15 Feb 2027ModerateWinter illumination season
- Tue 16 Feb 2027Moderate
- Wed 17 Feb 2027Moderate
- Fri 5 Feb 2027ModerateWinter illumination season
Busiest days in Tokyo
- Sun 1 Nov 2026BusyHalloween weekend
- Tue 3 Nov 2026Busy
- Sun 15 Nov 2026BusyWinter illumination season
- Mon 23 Nov 2026BusyWinter illumination season
- Sat 7 Nov 2026Busy
Month by month
| Month | Typical crowd | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| October 2026 | 47/100 | Busier than average |
| November 2026 | 50/100 | Busier than average |
| December 2026 | 44/100 | About average |
| January 2027 | 35/100 | Slightly quieter than average |
| February 2027 | 30/100 | A good month to visit |
Every month in Tokyo: January · February · March · April · May · June · July · August · September · October · November · December
Common questions
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How this forecast is built
Each day's crowd level combines the landmark's baseline popularity, Japanese national holidays (computed from the official rules, including substitute holidays), curated local festival and season windows, a national tourism seasonality curve derived from published visitor-arrival patterns, and live rain probability from the Japan Meteorological Agency — weighted by how much that specific place actually empties out in the rain.
It's a model, not a measurement. It's good at "this weekend will be much worse than the following Tuesday" and it is not a headcount. Days beyond the JMA's ~7-day window use seasonal rain climatology.