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Know before you go — 70 landmarks, 6 months out
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Tsukiji Outer Market crowd forecast

築地場外市場 · Tokyo · market

Today at Tsukiji Outer Market: Moderate (36/100). The quietest day in the next six months looks like Fri 12 Feb 2027.

Quietest days ahead

  • Fri 12 Feb 2027Moderate
  • Mon 15 Feb 2027Moderate
  • Tue 16 Feb 2027Moderate
  • Wed 17 Feb 2027Moderate
  • Fri 5 Feb 2027Moderate

Busiest days ahead

  • Tue 3 Nov 2026Busy
  • Sun 8 Nov 2026Busy
  • Sat 14 Nov 2026Busy
  • Sun 15 Nov 2026Busy
  • Mon 23 Nov 2026Busy

Month by month

MonthTypical crowdVerdict
October 2026 48/100 Busier than average
November 2026 51/100 Busier than average
December 2026 44/100 About average
January 2027 35/100 A good month to visit
February 2027 30/100 A good month to visit

Every month at Tsukiji Outer Market: January · February · March · April · May · June · July · August · September · October · November · December

Common questions

When is the least crowded time to visit Tsukiji Outer Market?
Over the next six months the quietest forecast day is Fri 12 Feb 2027, at 27/100 on the crowd index against a 41/100 average for this landmark. Weekdays average 40/100 versus 44/100 on weekends and public holidays, so a mid-week visit is reliably calmer.
How crowded is Tsukiji Outer Market today?
Today's forecast is "Moderate" — 36 out of 100 on the crowd index. That is better than usual for this location.
Which days should I avoid at Tsukiji Outer Market?
The busiest forecast days in the window are Tue 3 Nov 2026, Sun 8 Nov 2026, Sat 14 Nov 2026. Public holidays and weekends are the main spikes.
Does rain make Tsukiji Outer Market less crowded?
Yes, noticeably. Tsukiji Outer Market is largely open-air, and the forecast drops its crowd score by up to 15% on a high-rain day — one of the more reliable ways to get a quiet visit.

Crowd alerts

One email a month: which dates are filling up, which are still quiet, and what's changed. No spam, unsubscribe in one click.

How this forecast is built

Each day's crowd level combines the landmark's baseline popularity, Japanese national holidays (computed from the official rules, including substitute holidays), curated local festival and season windows, a national tourism seasonality curve derived from published visitor-arrival patterns, and live rain probability from the Japan Meteorological Agency — weighted by how much that specific place actually empties out in the rain.

It's a model, not a measurement. It's good at "this weekend will be much worse than the following Tuesday" and it is not a headcount. Days beyond the JMA's ~7-day window use seasonal rain climatology.